Monday, June 27, 2011

House Members Eyeing Open Senate Seats

As the First Called Session winds down and adjourns sine die on Wednesday, the political class will immediately turn its attention to the 2012 elections. December 12 is the deadline to file for the March 2012 primary election, and the filing period will commence November 14.

At this point, I already see a possibility of 5 open seats if the current Texas Senate map holds.

  1. SD 5 -- Although no final decision has been made, the odds are that Sen. Ogden retires and does not seek reelection. Rep. Charles Schwertner is eyeing the seat.

  2. SD 7 -- We will know soon whether Sen. Patrick's exploratory committee for the U.S. Senate has been successful. If Patrick files for the U. S. Senate, former Harris County Tax Assessor-Collector Paul Bettencourt will run for SD 7 and perhaps Rep. Patricia Harless.

  3. SD 10 -- This seat was drawn to elect a Republican, and Sen. Wendy Davis is highly unlikely to be reelected if she runs. Reps. Kelly Hancock is certain to run, and Rep. Vicki Truitt, Rep. Mark Shelton and Dee Kelly, Jr. are considering it.

  4. SD 11 -- Sen. Mike Jackson is taking a hard look at running for Congress in the new CD 36. If he does, expect Rep. Randy Weber to run for his Senate seat and perhaps Rep. Larry Taylor.

  5. SD 25 -- Sen. Jeff Wentworth has long been rumored to be retiring after the legislative session. If Sen. Wentworth retires or does not seek reelection, expect Rep. Lyle Larson to run.

In addition to the open seats, it appears that there could be vigorous primary challenges in two or three other seats. To paraphrase hurricane forecasters, it promises to be a busy Senate primary season!