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Friday, November 4, 2011

2014


Most Texas political eyes are currently focused on the interim congressional and legislative maps soon to be issued by the San Antonio court, the Republican presidential contest and the U. S. Senate race.  However, there is already a lot going on with the 2014 Texas statewide races.
If Governor Perry is not elected President, it is impossible to predict whether he would run for a fourth term in 2014.  Assuming that he does not, Attorney General Greg Abbott has positioned himself as the favorite for the Republican nomination.
Harris County Judge Ed Emmett is also quietly contemplating a possible run for Governor in 2014. Texas Republican Party Chairman Steve Munisteri recently named Emmett Chairman of Victory 2012, the party's statewide fundraising effort for the 2012 elections. Judge Emmett previously ran statewide in Texas in 1986 and 1988 for the Railroad Commission.  Harris County, the largest county in the state, is a significant base to run from.  However, the county’s share of the statewide Republican primary vote has been steadily declining from 13.3% of the votes cast in the Republican Primary for Governor in 2002; to 11.7% in 2006; to 10.6% in 2010.
For the Republican nomination for Lt. Governor, Comptroller Susan Combs, Land Commissioner Jerry Patterson, and Agriculture Commissioner Todd Staples have all announced.  State Senator Dan Patrick has decided to run for Lt. Governor in 2014, with an official announcement anticipated late this year or early next.  Finally, Rep. Dan Branch has indicated that he too intends to throw his hat into the ring for Lt. Governor.
I expect Cong. Michael McCaul to seek the Republican nomination for Attorney General in 2014.  Ted Cruz, if he is not successful in his U. S. Senate race, could revive his 2009 campaign for Attorney General and square off with McCaul.
So far it is very quiet on the Democratic side with no one to date moving around on these 2014 races.