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Wednesday, January 25, 2012

Texas Senate Cash on Hand

I looked at the December 31 cash on hand numbers for Senate incumbents and challengers.  They are:

Senator    Cash on Hand Candidate   COH       Candidate   COH
Birdwell     $230,941
Carona      $130,032
Davis         $681,362       Hancock $603,756    Shelton      $256,105
Deuell        $225,489
Duncan      $313,085
Ellis        $1,656,688
Eltife      $1,443,353
Estes        $242,938
Fraser    $1,408,726
Gallegos   $111,080
Harris                               Anderson $72,864    Goodman          $504
Hegar     $1,177,917
Hinojosa    $386,058
Huffman     $704,433
Jackson                            Taylor $169,778         Norman      $11,534
Lucio             $5,120
Nelson       $950,603
Nichols      $378,998
Ogden                              Schwertner $249,734  Bius              $8,717
Patrick    $1,004,940
Rodriguez  $103,255
Seliger     $1,309,418
Shapiro                            Paxton $853,876         O'Grady      $36,842
Uresti           $76,487
VandePutte $182,432
Watson    $1,551,539
Wentworth $183,440       Jones $200,353           Campbell       $4,511
West        $1,242,274
Whitmire  $5,113,361
Williams      $675,965
Zaffirini    $1,203,493

Observations:
  1. When the San Antonio court issues an interim map, there will be a 60 to 75 day sprint to the primary election.  The cash on hand numbers are probably a pretty good indication of what the races will look like.
  2. Both Sen. Davis and Rep. Hancock put up strong numbers in SD 10.
  3. Rep. Anderson appears well positioned in SD 9 assuming Hancock runs in SD 10.
  4. Rep. Taylor is the clear favorite in SD 11, but has not raised sufficient funds so far to inoculate himself from a Steve Mostyn funding blitz.
  5. Rep. Schwertner remains the clear favorite in SD 5.
  6. Sen. Patrick breaks a $1 million, demonstrating fundraising ability to go with his statewide grassroots appeal should he run for Lieutenant Governor in 2014.
  7. Rep. Paxton is the overwhelming favorite in SD 8.
  8. Sen. Wentworth and Commissioner Jones are financially competitive with each other in SD 25.
  9. Finally -- it is good to be the Dean!  Sen. Whitmire reports over $5 million.