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Tuesday, May 8, 2012

Assessment: Houston Area House Races


Dist.
Incumbent
Candidates
Party
COH 4/19/12
Assessment
3
New seat
Bell wins this seat, likely without a runoff.
Bob Bagley
R
n/a
Cecil Bell, Jr.
R
$24,805
Troy Bonin
R
n/a
15
Rob Eissler
Eissler wins.
Rob Eissler
R
$681,290
Steve Toth
R
$14,518
18
John Otto
Otto wins.
John Otto
R
$304,969
Dwayne Stovall
R
$640
23
Craig Eiland
D
Faircloth is the strongest Republican candidate for November.
Rachel Delgado
R
$2,763
Wayne Faircloth
R
$56,258
Bill Wallace
R
$11,495
24
Larry Taylor
Bonnen wins this race; question is whether he can do it without a runoff.
Greg Bonnen
R
$312,560
Ryan Sitton
R
$2,822
Heidi Thiess
R
$1,531
26
Charlie Howard
It will be a runoff.  Rick Miller is making a late push to see if he can squeeze into the runoff, which was likely to be between Bhuchar and Chaumette.
Sonal Bhuchar
R
$44,918
Jacquie Chaumette
R
$84,082
Diana Miller
R
$5,136
Rick Miller
R
$6,444
29
Randy Weber
Thompson wins.
Debra Rosenthal-Ritter
R
$3,495
Ed Thompson
R
$70,361
85
New seat
Duggan wins.
Lee Duggan
R
$53,304
Phil Stephenson
R
$5,553
127
Dan Huberty
Huberty wins.
Dan Huberty
R
$64,692
Bobby Jordan
R
$0
129
John Davis
Davis wins.
John Davis
R
$70,317
Mary Huls
R
$167
131
Alma Allen
This is a real race.  Adams got a good jump out of the gate, but Allen appears to be finishing strong.  Leans Allen.
Alma Allen
D
$60,002
Wanda Adams
D
$24,100
132
Bill Callegari
Callegari wins.
Bill Callegari
R
$258,286
Randy Brown
R
$93
133
Jim Murphy
This is a competitive race.  Witt is lavishly self-financing, and 75% of the district is new to Murphy.  However, it remains Murphy's race to lose.
Jim Murphy
R
$211,004
Ann Witt
R
$34,207
137
Scott Hochberg
This will be a runoff, and Madden, Smith and Wu are competing for the 2 spots.  Winkler has not done anything so far.  Smith can draw upon African-American voters; Madden and Wu have the strongest ground game; and Wu is the best financed.
Joe Madden
D
$13,987
Jamaal Smith
D
$6,255
Sarah Winkler
D
$35,914
Gene Wu
D
$73,468
138
Dwayne Bohac
Bohac wins.
Dwayne Bohac
R
$44,094
Whet Smith
R
$105,504
143
Ana Luna
D
Doesn't matter who wins the Republican primary, because Luna wins this seat in November.
Frank Salazar
R
Doug Weiskopf
R
144
Ken Legler
On the Democratic side it will be a runoff between Perez and Risner.  Pineda is the strongest Republican candidate for November.
Gilbert Pena
R
$0
David Pineda
R
$19,613
Mary Ann Perez
D
$40,729
Kevin Risner
D
$4,156
Ornaldo Ybarra
D
$26
146
Borris Miles
This is a competitive race because it is an old feud, but Miles wins.
Borris Miles
D
$58,573
Al Edwards
D
$764
147
Garnet Coleman
Coleman wins.
Garnet Coleman
D
$84,433
Ray Hill
D
$0
149
Hubert Vo
D
Jack Lee is the strongest Republican candidate for November.
Jack Lee
R
$3,725
Don Mullins
R
$0
Diane Williams
R
$1,405
150
Debbie Riddle
Riddle wins.
Debbie Riddle
R
$92,216
James Wilson
R
$4,272