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Tuesday, November 6, 2012

Election Day is Finally Here!


The voting phase of the 2012 election comes to a close today.  Hopefully, the presidential results will be clear cut, and the inevitable post-election litigation phase will be brief.

The popular vote for president appears razor close, although polls show President Obama with an edge in the Electoral College.  At this point, I would give the President a 70% chance of reelection and Governor Romney a 30% chance.  However, there was also a 30% chance of rain last Saturday for my son’s soccer game, and it was rained out!

The Democrats are expected to retain control of the U. S. Senate, and the Republicans control of the U. S. House.  If so, 2012 will be a status quo election after 3 national wave elections in a row in 2006, 2008 and 2010.

In Texas, all eyes will be on the state senate race in Fort Worth between Sen. Wendy Davis and Rep. Mark Shelton.  A Shelton win would give the Republicans a 2/3rds majority in the Texas Senate until the Gallegos vacancy is filled.  In the Texas House, the Republicans are expected to remain firmly in control with +/- 95 seats.

There are a number of interesting local referendums around the state, such as the proposition to establish a medical school in Austin; the METRO referendum in Houston; and the pre-K referendum in San Antonio.

Early voting has been heavy in most areas of Texas.  When the early vote results are released shortly after 7 p.m., we will be able to call many of the Texas races and referenda.  Stay tuned, and if you haven’t already done so, go vote!